Derry City vs Bohemians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Bohemians — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Bohemians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 0-1 Bohemians — Actual Match Statistics
Bohemians squeezed past Derry City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Derry City had 58% of the ball to Bohemians's 42%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.06 to 0.63 — the balance of chances actually favoured Derry City.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Derry City and 1.00 for Bohemians.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Bohemians?
Derry City 0-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Bohemians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Derry City 44%, draw 23%, Bohemians 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Derry City) went the other way.