Bohemians vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bohemians v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Bohemians vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bohemians 3-4 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City edged past Bohemians 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Bohemians at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bohemians had 63% of the ball to Derry City's 37%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.99 to 1.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bohemians.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bohemians and 1.17 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Bohemians vs Derry City?
Bohemians 3-4 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 49%, draw 25%, Derry City 26%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.