Dundalk 1-0 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+7.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-10.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
225 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.74 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
238 Passes 163
66% Pass Accuracy 56%
16 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
19.07.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
12.07.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 4-2 HT 2-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
06.05.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
01.04.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
02.02.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 1-2 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United IRLLSC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
1-0
AWAY Drogheda United
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk squeezed past Drogheda United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Dundalk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Dundalk had 42% of the ball to Drogheda United's 58%, shots finished 6-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundalk and 1.33 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Drogheda United?

Dundalk 1-0 Drogheda United in the Friendlies on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 39%, draw 28%, Drogheda United 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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