Shamrock Rovers 1-2 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
13%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.5
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
22.25
X/1
21%
3.59
X/2
3%
18.85
X/X
6%
7.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.95
2/2
5%
17.45
2/X
6%
26.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
73%
-2.1pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.1pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.69/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.92
+2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.8 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 1.08
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
434 Passes 229
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2026 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-2 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
01.11.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
05.07.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-2 HT 2-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
05.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
03.03.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
13.09.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-2
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.46 xG 1.34
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
584 Passes 220
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers squeezed past Shamrock Rovers 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Shamrock Rovers carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 68% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 32%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 1.46 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.00 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Shamrock Rovers 1-2 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 71%, draw 18%, Sligo Rovers 12%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
22 May 2026
21:45 Derry City vs St Patricks Analysis →
21:45 Galway United vs Bohemians Analysis →
21:45 Shelbourne vs Waterford FC Analysis →
22:00 Drogheda United vs Dundalk Analysis →