Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v St Patricks — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs St Patricks Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 2-2 St Patricks — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City and St Patricks shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Derry City had 59% of the ball to St Patricks's 41%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.71 to 1.04.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Derry City and 0.50 for St Patricks.
What was the final score of Derry City vs St Patricks?
Derry City 2-2 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs St Patricks?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Derry City 46%, draw 24%, St Patricks 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.