St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
St Patricks v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
St Patricks vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St Patricks 0-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City nicked a narrow win over St Patricks 1-0 away from home.
The model refused to pick a side here (40% / 32% / 28%); Derry City picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, St Patricks had 55% of the ball to Derry City's 45%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.03 to 0.56 — by the quality of chances, St Patricks deserved more.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for St Patricks and 1.33 for Derry City.
St Patricks vs Derry City Result & Final Score
St Patricks 0 - 1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 40%, draw 32%, Derry City 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St Patricks) went the other way.