Daejeon Citizen 2-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.27
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 25% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.87
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.3
X/1
15%
3.86
X/2
9%
11.8
X/X
10%
5.51
2/1
9%
23.1
2/2
9%
10.15
2/X
7%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.92/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.95
+8% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
450 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.6 Crosses 12.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gwangju
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
391 Passes 342
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2026 Gwangju Gwangju 0-5 HT 0-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
17.08.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
22.06.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
29.03.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
02.11.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
01.09.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2-0
AWAY Gwangju
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
459 Passes 269
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen saw off Gwangju 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Daejeon Citizen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 0.83 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju?

Daejeon Citizen 2-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 54%, draw 23%, Gwangju 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Citizen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
2 Aug 2026
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