FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Tukums 2000 v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FK Tukums 2000 2-1 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics
FK Tukums 2000 nicked a narrow win over Liepaja 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.92 to 2.34 — on chances, Liepaja could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 2.33 for Liepaja.
What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja?
FK Tukums 2000 2-1 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 32%, draw 27%, Liepaja 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.