Liepaja 3-0 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.8pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.39/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.54
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.7 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.27 xG 0.84
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
426 Passes 242
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2026 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
14.09.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 4-1 HT 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
25.06.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-3 HT 0-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
06.05.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 2-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
12.03.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
01.09.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 3-1 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
3-0
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
2.04 xG 1.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
423 Passes 309
30 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja cruised past FK Tukums 2000 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Liepaja had 57% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 43%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.04 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Liepaja and 1.17 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs FK Tukums 2000?

Liepaja 3-0 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 59%, draw 21%, FK Tukums 2000 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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