ADT 0-1 Deportivo Garcilaso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.62/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.35
+39% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +46%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.0 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 Passes 194
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.02.2026 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
02.11.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
28.06.2025 ADT ADT 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
13.09.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
07.04.2024 ADT ADT 2-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
06.03.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
0.41 xG 1.96
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
267 Passes 139
8 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso nicked a narrow win over ADT 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was ADT at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.41 to 1.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo Garcilaso's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Garcilaso led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for ADT and 0.83 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

What was the final score of ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

ADT 0-1 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ADT 46%, draw 25%, Deportivo Garcilaso 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (ADT) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADT) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
2 Aug 2026
02:00 Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca Analysis →
04:30 Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico Analysis →
19:00 Sporting Cristal vs Juan Pablo II College Analysis →
23:30 Deportivo Moquegua vs Melgar Analysis →