Cusco FC 4-1 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.0pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +13%
1.76/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.42
+4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.5 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 0.93
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
375 Passes 196
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2026 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-0 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
04.08.2025 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-2 HT 1-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
01.03.2025 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
19.07.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
02.02.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
26.06.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
4-1
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
2.90 xG 0.69
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
418 Passes 306
25 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC swept aside UTC Cajamarca 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.90 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cusco FC and 1.17 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca?

Cusco FC 4-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 57%, draw 21%, UTC Cajamarca 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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