Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
Alianza Lima 3-1 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima beat Alianza Atletico 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.37 to 1.15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.67 for Alianza Atletico.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Alianza Lima 3-1 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 58%, draw 24%, Alianza Atletico 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.