Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
1-1
HT 1-0
Torpedo Moscow
RUS1
Arsenal Tula edged past Torpedo Moscow 1-0 in the Russia - FNL on 2 Aug 2026.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, shots finished 4-12.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow lead the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arsenal Tula and 1.33 for Torpedo Moscow.
What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow?
Arsenal Tula 1-0 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 34%, draw 29%, Torpedo Moscow 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) went the other way.