Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.60/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.77
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Aluminij
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2026 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
05.02.2026 Aluminij Aluminij 1-2 HT 1-2 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
03.10.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 1-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
26.07.2025 Aluminij Aluminij 0-3 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
20.04.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 5-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
24.02.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 0-4 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
1-0
AWAY Aluminij
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana squeezed past Aluminij 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.50 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 52%, draw 24%, Aluminij 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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