CA Penarol 3-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.57/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.14
-14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2026 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-3 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
28.09.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-3 HT 1-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
01.06.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 1-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
31.03.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
17.08.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
19.02.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-2 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
3-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol cruised past Cerro Largo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CA Penarol and 1.17 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Cerro Largo?

CA Penarol 3-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 52%, draw 26%, Cerro Largo 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
2 Aug 2026
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