Las Vegas Lights 1-1 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
10.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 28% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.20/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.68
-1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
17.6 Crosses 13.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Vegas Lights
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
296 Passes 345
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
29.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-1 HT 0-1 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
29.09.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-2 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
02.06.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-0 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
27.08.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-3 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
27.05.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 0-1 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Vegas Lights
1-1
AWAY Phoenix Rising
0.61 xG 0.46
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
387 Passes 311
13 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Las Vegas Lights and Phoenix Rising shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USL Championship on 2 Aug 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.61 to 0.46.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 0.83 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?

Las Vegas Lights 1-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 41%, draw 24%, Phoenix Rising 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Las Vegas Lights), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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