Libertad 2-2 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 2 Oct 2025

📅02/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
22%
2.83
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.3pp
22%
Draw
32%
-10.2pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 32%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
1.30/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.00
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -81%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Club Guarani
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2025 Libertad Libertad 0-4 HT 0-2 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
20.04.2025 Libertad Libertad 1-3 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
10.02.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
06.10.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-2 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
03.08.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
07.04.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 2-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
2-2
AWAY Club Guarani
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad and Club Guarani shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Libertad had 63% of the ball to Club Guarani's 37%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Libertad and 1.67 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Club Guarani?

Libertad 2-2 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Cup on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Libertad 45%, draw 22%, Club Guarani 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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