Libertad 0-4 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 26 Aug 2025

📅26/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.00/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.85
-19% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Club Guarani
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Libertad Libertad 1-3 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
10.02.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
06.10.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-2 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
03.08.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
07.04.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 2-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
22.01.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
0-4
AWAY Club Guarani
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani swept aside Libertad 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Libertad had 48% of the ball to Club Guarani's 52%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Libertad and 1.17 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Club Guarani?

Libertad 0-4 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Libertad 42%, draw 26%, Club Guarani 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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