Aveley 0-1 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 32% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 38%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.41/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.04
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Weymouth
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Aveley Aveley 0-2 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
25.11.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-1 HT 0-1 Aveley Aveley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aveley
0-1
AWAY Weymouth
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weymouth squeezed past Aveley 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Weymouth found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aveley had 46% of the ball to Weymouth's 54%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weymouth led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aveley and 1.50 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Weymouth?

Aveley 0-1 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aveley win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aveley 38%, draw 29%, Weymouth 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aveley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aveley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
2 Nov 2024
18:00 Oxford City vs Southport Analysis →
18:00 Needham Market vs Spennymoor Town Analysis →
18:00 Kidderminster Harriers vs Buxton Analysis →
18:00 Leamington vs Peterborough Sports Analysis →
18:00 Chorley vs Kings Lynn Town Analysis →
18:00 Farsley AFC vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →