Chicago Fire 0-3 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.92
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
18%
5.29
X/2
9%
7.04
X/X
14%
5.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
2/2
12%
4.55
2/X
7%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.51/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.25
-9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
16.7 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.55 xG 1.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 Passes 356
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2025 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-2 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
24.08.2025 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-0 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
26.06.2025 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-1 HT 0-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
04.07.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-3 HT 1-2 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
25.02.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-2 HT 0-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
16.04.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-2 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
0-3
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.36 xG 1.67
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
434 Passes 112
81% Pass Accuracy 53%
27 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union cruised past Chicago Fire 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chicago Fire at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 71% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 29%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.36 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chicago Fire and 2.33 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?

Chicago Fire 0-3 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 47%, draw 26%, Philadelphia Union 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chicago Fire), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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