Macara vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macara v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
Macara vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Emelec
EKV1
4-0
HT 4-0
Macara
EKV1
Macara 3-0 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Macara cruised past Emelec 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Macara found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Macara had 54% of the ball to Emelec's 46%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 3.26 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Macara and 1.50 for Emelec.
What was the final score of Macara vs Emelec?
Macara 3-0 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macara vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Macara 37%, draw 26%, Emelec 37%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.