Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 31%
+24% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
2.44/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.68
+103% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
472 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2025 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKRK
14.05.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKRK
27.04.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 HT 2-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
27.10.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
11.05.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
03.11.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
3-1
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk beat Dynamo Kiev 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Shakhtar Donetsk made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shakhtar Donetsk had 55% of the ball to Dynamo Kiev's 45%, shots finished 10-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.00 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kiev?

Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Premier League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 40%, draw 27%, Dynamo Kiev 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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