Newcastle United 2-2 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Dec 2025

📅02/12/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.1
Over Pick
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.0
2-3
41%
1.85
4-5
24%
3.03
6+
12%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.43
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.65
X/2
12%
8.52
X/X
9%
5.46
2/1
8%
22.25
2/2
11%
6.18
2/X
6%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham The Market 28%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
2.53/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.64
+28% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
36.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
18.9 Crosses 17.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tottenham
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.15 xG 0.95
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
287 Passes 431
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2025 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-0 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNLK
03.08.2025 Tottenham Tottenham 1-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United HAZ
04.01.2025 Tottenham Tottenham 1-2 HT 1-2 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
01.09.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-1 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
22.05.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 1-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United HAZ
13.04.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-0 HT 2-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
2-2
AWAY Tottenham
2.04 xG 0.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 8
377 Passes 313
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
38 Box Touches 22
40 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United and Tottenham couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Newcastle United had 53% of the ball to Tottenham's 47%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.04 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Newcastle United and 0.67 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Tottenham?

Newcastle United 2-2 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 48%, draw 22%, Tottenham 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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