Bournemouth vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Everton — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bournemouth 0-1 Everton — Actual Match Statistics
Everton nicked a narrow win over Bournemouth 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Bournemouth at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Bournemouth had 55% of the ball to Everton's 45%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.50 to 1.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bournemouth and 1.00 for Everton.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Everton?
Bournemouth 0-1 Everton in the England - Premier League on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Everton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 46%, draw 25%, Everton 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.