Ospitaletto 1-1 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+2.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ospitaletto EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.27/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.94
+14% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ospitaletto
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lecco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 2-0 Ospitaletto İTC
17.08.2025 Lecco Lecco 0-1 HT 0-0 Ospitaletto İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ospitaletto
1-1
AWAY Lecco
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ospitaletto vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ospitaletto and Lecco shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Ospitaletto had 44% of the ball to Lecco's 56%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ospitaletto and 1.00 for Lecco.

What was the final score of Ospitaletto vs Lecco?

Ospitaletto 1-1 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ospitaletto vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ospitaletto win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ospitaletto 35%, draw 31%, Lecco 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ospitaletto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ospitaletto) ✓ Under 2.5
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