Pontedera 1-3 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.19/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.13
+7% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sassari Torres
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-0 HT 1-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
23.02.2025 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-0 HT 1-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
12.10.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-3 HT 1-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
23.02.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 1-2 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
22.10.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
05.03.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
1-3
AWAY Sassari Torres
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres saw off Pontedera 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sassari Torres found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Pontedera had 49% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 51%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pontedera and 1.17 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Sassari Torres?

Pontedera 1-3 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 34%, draw 29%, Sassari Torres 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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