Pro Vercelli 1-0 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.91
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.12/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.22
-22% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
303 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pro Patria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-3 HT 1-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
17.05.2025 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
10.05.2025 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
12.04.2025 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-2 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
01.12.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
18.08.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
1-0
AWAY Pro Patria
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli nicked a narrow win over Pro Patria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pro Vercelli as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 51% of the ball to Pro Patria's 49%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Vercelli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pro Vercelli and 1.00 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria?

Pro Vercelli 1-0 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 52%, draw 23%, Pro Patria 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pro Vercelli), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✓ Under 2.5
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