Cittadella 4-1 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.02/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.06
-35% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Virtus Verona
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
24.08.2025 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTC
28.07.2024 Cittadella Cittadella 4-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
4-1
AWAY Virtus Verona
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella swept aside Virtus Verona 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cittadella as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cittadella had 45% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 55%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cittadella had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cittadella and 1.00 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Virtus Verona?

Cittadella 4-1 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 57%, draw 25%, Virtus Verona 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cittadella), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cittadella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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