Trento AC 3-1 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +27%
1.14/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.89
-21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-2 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
05.04.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-0 HT 1-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
23.11.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 2-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
06.04.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 0-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
03.12.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 1-1 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
14.05.2022 Trento AC Trento AC 1-0 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
3-1
AWAY GIANA Erminio
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC beat GIANA Erminio 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trento AC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trento AC had 66% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 34%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trento AC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trento AC and 0.67 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs GIANA Erminio?

Trento AC 3-1 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 46%, draw 28%, GIANA Erminio 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trento AC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trento AC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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