Amiens SC 1-2 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 Jan 2026

Amiens SC
1-2 HT 0-2
Nancy
📅03/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Amiens SC vs Nancy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.56
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
19%
4.44
6+ Goals
10%
23.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.44 — our 19% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.28
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
29.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
12%
6.67
X/2
11%
4.78
X/X
17%
4.11
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.17
2/X
5%
13.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.1pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amiens SC v Nancy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -32%
1.02/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.17
-10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
16.5 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Amiens SC vs Nancy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Nancy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.01 xG 1.12
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
268 Passes 364
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2025 Nancy Nancy 0-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
12.03.2022 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
29.01.2022 Nancy Nancy 0-2 HT 0-2 Amiens SC Amiens SC FRK
24.09.2021 Nancy Nancy 1-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
15.05.2021 Nancy Nancy 2-2 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
22.08.2020 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR2

Amiens SC 1-2 Nancy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
1-2
AWAY Nancy
0.51 xG 1.94
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
538 Passes 235
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy edged past Amiens SC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Nancy made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Amiens SC had 66% of the ball to Nancy's 34%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.51 to 1.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nancy's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amiens SC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Amiens SC and 0.50 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Nancy?

Amiens SC 1-2 Nancy in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 32%, draw 29%, Nancy 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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