Le Mans FC 0-0 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 33% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.75
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
10%
5.76
X/2
10%
5.78
X/X
15%
4.89
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
18%
3.78
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
0.89/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.38
-37% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
21.9 Crosses 15.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.54 xG 1.54
28% Ball Possession 72%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
162 Passes 539
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2025 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-3 HT 1-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
03.04.2010 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR1
29.11.2009 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
17.01.2009 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-1 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR1
23.08.2008 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
05.04.2008 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 4-1 HT 1-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
0-0
AWAY Saint-Etienne
0.77 xG 1.16
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
227 Passes 455
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 29
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC and Saint-Etienne played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 39% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 61%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.77 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Le Mans FC and 1.67 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Saint-Etienne?

Le Mans FC 0-0 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 36%, draw 30%, Saint-Etienne 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Le Mans FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
3 Jan 2026
16:00 Troyes vs Red Star FC 93 Analysis →
22:00 Bastia vs Grenoble Analysis →
22:00 Amiens SC vs Nancy Analysis →
22:00 Guingamp vs Boulogne Analysis →
22:00 Reims vs Annecy Analysis →
22:00 Clermont vs Stade Lavallois Analysis →