Clermont 4-1 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.07
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
11%
5.42
X/2
13%
5.65
X/X
11%
3.66
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
17%
4.33
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
31%
-7.4pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
1.10/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.28
-17% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
18.2 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.02 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
434 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2025 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
18.01.2025 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
29.10.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
14.08.2018 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-3 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FRLK
03.03.2017 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
30.09.2016 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
4-1
AWAY Stade Lavallois
2.06 xG 0.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 4
488 Passes 352
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 9
9 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont ran out comfortable winners over Stade Lavallois 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Clermont found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Clermont had 56% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 44%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.06 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clermont had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Clermont and 0.67 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Stade Lavallois?

Clermont 4-1 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Clermont 38%, draw 23%, Stade Lavallois 38%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/23/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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