Troyes vs Red Star FC 93 Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Troyes v Red Star FC 93 — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Red Star FC 93 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Red Star FC 93
FR2
0-3
HT 0-2
Troyes
FR2
3-2
HT 1-0
Red Star FC 93
FR2
Troyes 1-0 Red Star FC 93 — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes squeezed past Red Star FC 93 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Troyes had 41% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 59%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.95 to 1.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Troyes and 0.83 for Red Star FC 93.
What was the final score of Troyes vs Red Star FC 93?
Troyes 1-0 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Troyes vs Red Star FC 93?
Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Troyes 48%, draw 25%, Red Star FC 93 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.