Guingamp 3-0 Boulogne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 Jan 2026

Guingamp
3-0 HT 2-0
Boulogne
📅03/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Guingamp vs Boulogne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
19.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 38% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.64
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.39
X/2
9%
7.93
X/X
18%
4.41
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
6.52
2/X
7%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.8pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guingamp v Boulogne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Boulogne EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.43/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.96
+2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
22.7 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Guingamp vs Boulogne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Boulogne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 0.94
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
469 Passes 325
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.10.2025 Boulogne Boulogne 2-2 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
17.02.2012 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
20.09.2011 Boulogne Boulogne 2-0 HT 2-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
09.02.2010 Boulogne Boulogne 1-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FRK
16.01.2009 Guingamp Guingamp 3-0 HT 1-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
08.08.2008 Boulogne Boulogne 2-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2

Guingamp 3-0 Boulogne — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
3-0
AWAY Boulogne
2.80 xG 0.79
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
473 Passes 224
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Boulogne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp cruised past Boulogne 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Guingamp had 64% of the ball to Boulogne's 36%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.80 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boulogne led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guingamp and 1.33 for Boulogne.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Boulogne?

Guingamp 3-0 Boulogne in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Boulogne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 41%, draw 32%, Boulogne 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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