Crusaders FC 2-0 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.99
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.96
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
11%
6.99
X/2
18%
4.97
X/X
9%
4.95
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
14%
2.94
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
30%
+9.6pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.1pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.30/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.33
+6% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.11.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
13.09.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
26.04.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
11.01.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-5 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
03.12.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-2 HT 2-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRLK
30.11.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC saw off Dungannon Swifts 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 20% / 40% — and on the day Crusaders FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crusaders FC and 2.00 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Crusaders FC 2-0 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 40%, draw 20%, Dungannon Swifts 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/20/40) ✗ Over 2.5
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KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
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