Stockport County vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Stockport County v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals
Stockport County vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Stockport County 1-1 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics
Stockport County and Harrogate Town traded blows to a 1-1 standstill.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Stockport County at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The market had leaned harder still (1.43, ~70%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 53% and both teams to score at 50%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.76, roughly 57%.
On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in Stockport County's favour, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 2.19 to 0.99.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stockport County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.60 a game for Stockport County against 0.80 for Harrogate Town.
Stockport County vs Harrogate Town Result & Final Score
Stockport County 1-1 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Stockport County vs Harrogate Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 56%, draw 24%, Harrogate Town 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.