Audace Cerignola 1-1 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.75
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.39/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.89
+28% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
229 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Avellino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2023 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
12.02.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 3-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
15.10.2022 Avellino Avellino 1-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
1-1
AWAY Avellino
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola and Avellino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Avellino at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 37% of the ball to Avellino's 63%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Audace Cerignola and 1.00 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Avellino?

Audace Cerignola 1-1 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 29%, draw 31%, Avellino 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Avellino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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