03/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Angri Calcio vs Fidelis Andria Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No Pick
55%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
47%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
41%
Home Win
46%
26%
Draw
24%
33%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Angri Calcio v Fidelis Andria — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Angri Calcio
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fidelis Andria
The Market 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-1%
/
+19%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
316 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
304 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Angri Calcio vs Fidelis Andria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fidelis Andria edged past Angri Calcio 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Angri Calcio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Angri Calcio vs Fidelis Andria?
Angri Calcio 0-1 Fidelis Andria in the Italy - Serie D on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Angri Calcio vs Fidelis Andria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Angri Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Angri Calcio 41%, draw 26%, Fidelis Andria 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Angri Calcio) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Angri Calcio)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
3 Mar 2024