Montpellier 2-2 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 26% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.62
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
15%
4.59
X/2
13%
7.53
X/X
14%
5.08
2/1
10%
23.15
2/2
7%
5.26
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.82/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.25
+26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.6 Crosses 15.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier
2W-2D-2L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
391 Passes 336
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-2 HT 0-2 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
05.02.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-0 HT 2-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
17.09.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 2-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
16.01.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-1 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
02.01.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 1-0 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FRK
02.10.2021 Montpellier Montpellier 1-1 HT 1-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier
2-2
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.74 xG 1.69
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
426 Passes 260
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 22
39 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier and RC Strasbourg shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montpellier had 60% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 40%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.74 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Montpellier and 1.50 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs RC Strasbourg?

Montpellier 2-2 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 44%, draw 30%, RC Strasbourg 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montpellier), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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