Nantes 0-2 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 3 Mar 2024

Nantes
0-2 HT 0-0
Metz
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.35
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
11%
3.88
X/2
5%
8.31
X/X
18%
3.9
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
15%
7.31
2/X
8%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.57/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.58
-10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
23.5 Crosses 16.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Metz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 0.85
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
398 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Metz Metz 3-1 HT 2-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
27.02.2022 Metz Metz 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
15.08.2021 Nantes Nantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR1
24.01.2021 Metz Metz 2-0 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
22.11.2020 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 1-1 Metz Metz FR1
15.02.2020 Nantes Nantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
0-2
AWAY Metz
0.90 xG 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
324 Passes 404
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 18
37 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz got the better of Nantes 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nantes at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Nantes had 47% of the ball to Metz's 53%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.90 to 2.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nantes and 1.00 for Metz.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Metz?

Nantes 0-2 Metz in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nantes 43%, draw 32%, Metz 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nantes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024
15:00 Toulouse vs Nice Analysis →
17:00 Brest vs Le Havre Analysis →
17:00 Montpellier vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →
19:05 Rennes vs Lorient Analysis →
22:45 Lyon vs Lens Analysis →