Des Moines Menace vs Union Omaha Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Des Moines Menace v Union Omaha — Team-Based Signals
Des Moines Menace vs Union Omaha Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Des Moines Menace 1-2 Union Omaha — Actual Match Statistics
Union Omaha squeezed past Des Moines Menace 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Des Moines Menace had 56% of the ball to Union Omaha's 44%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.96 to 2.12.
What was the final score of Des Moines Menace vs Union Omaha?
Des Moines Menace 1-2 Union Omaha in the USA - Open Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Des Moines Menace vs Union Omaha?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Des Moines Menace 34%, draw 24%, Union Omaha 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.