Lancaster City 3-0 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.13/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.57
-35% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Morpeth Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2025 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
22.03.2025 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-0 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
16.11.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
16.03.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
24.10.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 3-2 HT 1-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City swept aside Morpeth Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lancaster City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lancaster City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lancaster City and 0.83 for Morpeth Town.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?

Lancaster City 3-0 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 48%, draw 25%, Morpeth Town 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lancaster City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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