Royal Antwerp 1-2 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.9
Over 2.5
59%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.68
No
38%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
28%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.19
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
9%
6.21
X/2
15%
5.39
X/X
9%
4.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
29.5
2/2
21%
3.36
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.9pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+4.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
49%
-8.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
51%
+8.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.6pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.30/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.44
-25% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
17.9 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Genk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 1.70
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
260 Passes 500
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-0 HT 2-0 Genk Genk BEL
03.08.2025 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 1-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
27.04.2025 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
23.04.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
26.12.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-2 HT 2-1 Genk Genk BEL
03.11.2024 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
1-2
AWAY Genk
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk squeezed past Royal Antwerp 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 58% of the ball to Genk's 42%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.00 for Genk.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Genk?

Royal Antwerp 1-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 34%, draw 22%, Genk 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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