Royal Antwerp 3-0 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 31% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.99
1/2
11%
24.0
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
8%
7.96
X/2
18%
4.64
X/X
11%
4.95
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
16%
2.6
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 53%
+16% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.36/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.49
+18% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
16.9 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Genk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 468
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2025 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 1-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
27.04.2025 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
23.04.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
26.12.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-2 HT 2-1 Genk Genk BEL
03.11.2024 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
20.05.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
3-0
AWAY Genk
1.35 xG 0.64
28% Ball Possession 72%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
194 Passes 599
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp ran out comfortable winners over Genk 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Genk at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 28% of the ball to Genk's 72%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.35 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.17 for Genk.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Genk?

Royal Antwerp 3-0 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 29%, draw 26%, Genk 45%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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