Mechelen vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mechelen v Sporting Charleroi — Team-Based Signals
Mechelen vs Sporting Charleroi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mechelen 1-0 Sporting Charleroi — Actual Match Statistics
Mechelen squeezed past Sporting Charleroi 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Mechelen made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Mechelen had 54% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 46%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.91 to 0.97.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mechelen and 1.33 for Sporting Charleroi.
What was the final score of Mechelen vs Sporting Charleroi?
Mechelen 1-0 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Sporting Charleroi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 37%, draw 26%, Sporting Charleroi 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.