Sporting Charleroi 2-0 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.65/0.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.97
-70% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mechelen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.76 xG 1.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
379 Passes 354
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-2 HT 0-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
18.05.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
19.04.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-0 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
08.03.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
31.08.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 5-2 HT 3-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
27.12.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2-0
AWAY Mechelen
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi beat Mechelen 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 53% of the ball to Mechelen's 47%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.67 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen?

Sporting Charleroi 2-0 Mechelen in the Belgium - Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 44%, draw 27%, Mechelen 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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