Westerlo 4-0 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
47%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 26% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.14
1/2
10%
23.55
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
12%
6.57
X/2
13%
5.58
X/X
6%
5.38
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
25%
3.22
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.6pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.94/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.27
+31% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
20.2 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.50 xG 2.15
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
296 Passes 408
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 41
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 5-2 HT 2-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
09.03.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 2-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
05.12.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-1 HT 3-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEK
14.09.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.12.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
20.08.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
4-0
AWAY Anderlecht
3.19 xG 0.72
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
217 Passes 426
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo ran out comfortable winners over Anderlecht 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Anderlecht at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Westerlo had 37% of the ball to Anderlecht's 63%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 3.19 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Westerlo and 2.67 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Anderlecht?

Westerlo 4-0 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 32%, draw 21%, Anderlecht 47%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Anderlecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ BTTS No
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