Afan Lido 4-1 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
30%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
72%
+0.2pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.8pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
2.28/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.28
-13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +15%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
526 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
15.08.2025 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-4 HT 1-3 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
22.03.2025 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
08.11.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-1 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
17.02.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
27.10.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-1 HT 0-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
17.02.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-1 HT 0-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido ran out comfortable winners over Cwmbran Celtic 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Afan Lido as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afan Lido had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Afan Lido and 1.17 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Afan Lido 4-1 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afan Lido win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 72%, draw 16%, Cwmbran Celtic 11%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afan Lido), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Afan Lido) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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