Malacateco 1-0 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +22%
1.66/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.41
-8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.02.2026 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
20.10.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
10.08.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
23.03.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
16.02.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 5-2 HT 4-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
08.09.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco squeezed past Guastatoya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Malacateco and 1.00 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Guastatoya?

Malacateco 1-0 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 56%, draw 21%, Guastatoya 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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