Guastatoya 1-1 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.50/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.21
+12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Malacateco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
10.08.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
23.03.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
16.02.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 5-2 HT 4-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
08.09.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
06.04.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya and Malacateco shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Guastatoya at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guastatoya and 1.50 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Malacateco?

Guastatoya 1-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 51%, draw 27%, Malacateco 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guastatoya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
15 Feb 2026
00:00 Mixco vs CSD Comunicaciones Analysis →
03:00 Municipal vs Achuapa Analysis →
20:00 Aurora vs Coban Imperial Analysis →